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Inflation rise complicates Bank of Canada’s rate decision

Your Insurely Team

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Last updated: Feb 9, 2026

Five professionals (3 men, 2 women) sit attentively at a conference table with documents.
  • Canada's inflation rate increases to 2% in October, complicating the Bank of Canada's interest rate decision for December
  • Economists are split on whether the Bank will cut rates by 25 or 50 basis points, with the likelihood of a 50-point cut remaining unchanged
  • Slowing rent inflation contrasts with a 6% annual rise in property taxes, all amidst the upcoming mortgage rules and housing market changes

In the news: Canada's inflation rate rose to 2% in October, complicating expectations for the Bank of Canada's interest rate decision in December.

What to know: Economists are divided on whether the Bank will implement a 25 or 50 basis point rate cut, with the probability of a 50-point cut not decreasing. The BoC has shifted from raising to cutting interest rates to stimulate economic growth as inflation trends downward.

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The numbers: Canada's annual inflation rate increased to 2% in October, up from 1.6% in September, aligning with the Bank's target, but exceeding economists' expectations.

  • The CPI saw a rise driven primarily by changes in gas prices.
  • Prices increased at a faster annual pace in over half of the major components of the price index.

Slowing rental inflation, rising taxes: In a positive sign for the housing market, rent inflation slowed, while property taxes rose by 6% annually (the fastest increase since 1992). As the new mortgage rules take effect in less than a month, the government tackles immigration reforms, and new housing starts unexpectedly jumped, we will be closely following how the market reacts.

What's next: The Bank of Canada will consider new economic data, including GDP and the November jobs report, before its next December 11 rates announcement. Follow Insurely News for updates and expert insights as the news unfolds.

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